ArthVue logoArthVue

Microeconomic intelligence

An industry is a set of economic variables, not a label. Each state below is derived from the material events in the current window and links back to them.

Industry micro states

Demand · supply · pricing · costs · margins · competition · regulation

IndustryDemandPricingCostsMarginsRegulationMicro score
Defence manufacturingImprovingStableStableStableSupportive64
Private banksImprovingStableStableImprovingSupportive59
Passenger vehiclesImprovingFirmingStableImprovingUnchanged57
IT servicesImprovingStableStableImprovingUnchanged54
Power transmission & renewablesImprovingStableRisingImprovingUnchanged54
CementStableStableStableStableUnchanged50
Formulations pharmaStableStableStableStableUnchanged50
Packaged FMCGStableStableStableStableUnchanged50

Defence manufacturing

2 material events in the current window drive this state

  • Demand86/100

    Weight 25% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Pricing50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Costs50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Capacity balance74/100

    Weight 15% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Competition50/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Regulation66/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

Private banks

1 material event in the current window drive this state

  • Demand70/100

    Weight 25% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Pricing50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Costs50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Capacity balance63/100

    Weight 15% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Competition50/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Regulation67/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

Passenger vehicles

2 material events in the current window drive this state

  • Demand67/100

    Weight 25% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Pricing64/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Costs50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Capacity balance50/100

    Weight 15% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Competition50/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Regulation50/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

IT services

1 material event in the current window drive this state

  • Demand65/100

    Weight 25% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Pricing50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Costs50/100

    Weight 20% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Capacity balance50/100

    Weight 15% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Competition50/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

  • Regulation50/100

    Weight 10% · 50 is the neutral, no-event baseline

Commodity pass-through

Who benefits, who absorbs, and how much reaches the P&L

Crude oil

Crude oil → ATF / feedstock → Airlines, paints, chemicals → Operating cost → EBITDA margin

Producers / gainers on a price rise

  • ONGC Realisations move with crude
  • RELIANCE Upstream plus refining spread exposure

Consumers / cost exposure

  • INDIGOModerate pass-throughATF is roughly a third of operating cost
  • ASIANPAINTHigh pass-throughCrude derivatives in monomers and solvents
  • SRFModerate pass-throughFeedstock linked specialty chemicals
  • BPCLLow pass-throughMarketing margins compress when crude rises fast

Steel

Steel price → Auto and capital goods input cost → Gross margin → Pricing action

Producers / gainers on a price rise

  • TATASTEEL Domestic realisation leverage
  • JSWSTEEL Volume plus realisation leverage
  • SAIL High operating leverage to realisations

Consumers / cost exposure

  • MARUTIModerate pass-throughSteel is the largest bill-of-material line
  • ASHOKLEYLow pass-throughCV pricing is competitive
  • HAVELLSHigh pass-throughBrand strength supports price hikes
  • BHARATFORGHigh pass-throughLargely pass-through contracts

Coal

Coal / pet coke price → Cement and power fuel cost → Cost per tonne → Operating margin

Producers / gainers on a price rise

  • COALINDIA Direct realisation

Consumers / cost exposure

  • ULTRACEMCOModerate pass-throughFuel is a fifth of cement cost
  • AMBUJACEMModerate pass-throughFuel mix flexibility
  • DALBHARATLow pass-throughRegional pricing dependent
  • TATAPOWERHigh pass-throughRegulated pass-through in parts of the book

Copper & aluminium

Base metal price → Cable and durable input cost → Working capital → Margin

Producers / gainers on a price rise

  • HINDALCO Aluminium realisation
  • HINDZINC Base metal basket

Consumers / cost exposure

  • POLYCABHigh pass-throughCopper is the dominant input; pricing is formula-linked
  • HAVELLSModerate pass-throughMixed pass-through by product line
  • CROMPTONLow pass-throughMass segment limits price hikes

Source: sample market data · Calculated metrics, not exchange feeds · Algorithm version phase5-micro-1.0.0 · Generated 31/8/2026, 1:45:49 pm. Educational analysis only — not investment advice, and no recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Phase 5 runs on an illustrative event corpus with full source metadata, not a licensed live news feed. Materiality, exposure and impact are computed by versioned rule engines (materiality v1.0.0, impact v1.0.0); confidence and unknowns are shown alongside every conclusion. Nothing here is investment advice.